Introduction

Model Thinking is written by Duncan and Jason.

Duncan McClements is an Economics student at King’s College, Cambridge and a Research Fellow at the Adam Smith Institute.

Jason Hausenloy is a student at UC Berkeley. He was previously a visiting fellow at the United Nations University and interned at Conjecture, a UK-based alignment lab.

Duncan and Jason met in Oxford where they attended the European Summer Program on Rationality (ESPR) ‘22.

Inspiration

This used to be Duncan’s personal blog. Nuño Sempere, a super-forecaster who taught us both at ESPR, once commented:

Nuño Sempere @NunoSempere

Another banger from Duncan. <duncanmcclements.substack.com/p/innovative-e…>. Dude really doesn't know how to write, but still manages to be interesting.

duncanmcclements.substack.comInnovative externality inclusionIf the current level of regulation is privately optimal, how does inclusion of innovation externalities change the optimal global level?

11:38 AM ∙ Jan 1, 2023

We discovered writing together made us both more productive, engaging and original. The tangential ideas we’d have while drafting one piece would often fill a separate document.

At Model Thinking, we want to provide a quantitative lens for viewing the world and perhaps, also, respond to Nuño’s critique.