Archive - Model Thinking

Pennies for Petabytes

Data royalties would be small, but greatly slow down AI progress

Jun 6 •

Duncan McClements

and

Jason Hausenloy

April 2025

Not the Nightmare Scenario

Our equine economist on the economic possibilities for our grandchildren

Apr 1 •

Duncan McClements

and

Jason Hausenloy

January 2025

How much economic growth from AI should we expect, how soon?

A post for Inference Magazine

Jan 17 •

Duncan McClements

November 2024

The end times portfolio is long

Do negative potential effects of AI imply shorting the market?

Nov 6, 2024 •

Duncan McClements

September 2024

Thames into Tyburn

The case for filling in rivers

Sep 13, 2024 •

Duncan McClements

Refillable planet

Existing fertility interventions are (probably) well worth it

Sep 2, 2024 •

Duncan McClements

and

Jason Hausenloy

April 2024

An outlandish proposal to solve the housing crisis

Apr 1, 2024 •

Duncan McClements

and

Jason Hausenloy

January 2024

Insuring Progress

Britain is stuck. How can we get it moving again?

Jan 7, 2024 •

Duncan McClements

and

Jason Hausenloy

July 2023

Assessing altruism

Is intergenerational altruism 0.09?

Jul 9, 2023 •

Duncan McClements

and

Jason Hausenloy

March 2023

Paying For Peace

How much would Russian soldiers need to be paid to defect if offered EU citizenship?

Mar 26, 2023 •

Duncan McClements

and

Jason Hausenloy

February 2023

Prisons compared

How do prison sentences compare with alternatives that are neither incapacitative nor criminogenic at different costs of crime?

Feb 12, 2023 •

Duncan McClements

January 2023

A model of the levels of Western support needed for a Ukrainian victory by level of Russian mobilisation, under a Cobb-Douglas production function

Jan 22, 2023 •

Duncan McClements

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