Model Thinking

not a large language model

We parse millions of news pieces a week so that our elite forecasters can identify and discuss the most important warning signs of global catastrophic risks for you.

Civilization. AI. Book reviews. Startups. Liberty. Effective altruism. Progress studies. Radical futures.

This is a blog on why we believe and do what we do, why we pretend otherwise, how we might do better, and what our descendants might do, if they don't all die.

I want to learn everything.

A world made of gears. Doing both speed premium short term updates and long term world model building. Currently focused on weekly AI updates. Explorations include AI, policy, rationality, medicine and fertility, education and games.

New and underrated ideas to improve the world. Visit our website: worksinprogress.co

P(A|B) = [P(A)*P(B|A)]/P(B), all the rest is commentary.

A newsletter by Sam Bowman